Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Black Bears BRY @ ME

BRYANT

BULLDOGSBRY

4-10  |  Road

56
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 2:00 PM ET
Skip Chappelle Court in Memorial Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

MAINE

BLACK BEARSME

2-13  |  Home

51
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
BLACK BEARS
0%
BULLDOGS --
BLACK BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
113.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
MAINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (Maine)
BulldogsBRY (-3.5) 0 Black BearsME (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

0.0%

Black Bears Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ME -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ME)

BRY By 1-7 points

0.0%

BRY By 8-14 points

0.0%

ME By 1-7 points

0.0%

ME By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
34
BRYANT
79
MAINE
Simulated Score
74
BRYANT
77
MAINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Black Bears Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Black Bears Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Black Bears (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -45.0
D
Sim Black Bears (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u126.0 Win
Proj Total: 113.0
D
Sim u126.0 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 ME @ BRY 67 - 73
Jan 3, 2026 BRY @ ME 56 - 51
Mar 15, 2025 ME @ BRY 59 - 79
Mar 1, 2025 BRY @ ME 80 - 72
Jan 4, 2025 ME @ BRY 55 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +17.7% more
Maine: 8.2 vs Bryant: 7.0
Blocks (L5) +47.6% more
Bryant: 7.1 vs Maine: 3.7
Assists (L5) +29.1% more
Bryant: 15.1 vs Maine: 10.7
Rebounding (L5) +19.3% more
Bryant: 33.1 vs Maine: 26.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BRY Score 34.0 56
ME Score 79.0 51
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.4 / 33.3 11.0 / 17.0
Assists 10.7 / 15.1 12.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.7 / 7.1 2.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 46.1 32.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 64.9 / 72.7 54.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 26.7 / 33.1 42.0 / 46.0
Steals 8.2 / 7.0 10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.8 / 15.1 15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRY Advantage
9-22-0 (29.0%)
Margin: -7.6 ATS +/-: -4.2
ME
8-24-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -5.9 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRY
11-18-0 (37.9%)
Margin: -7.6 ATS +/-: -4.2
ME Advantage
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -5.9 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
BRY
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6% Total +/-: -1.7
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ME
BRY
ME
BRY
ML
45% 14-17
70% 21-9
52% 16-15
80% 24-6
ATS
55% 17-14
73% 22-8
52% 16-15
80% 24-6
TTL
55% 17-14
67% 20-10
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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