Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Raiders @ Black Knights COLG @ ARMY

COLGATE

RAIDERSCOLG

7-7  |  Road

76
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 1:00 PM ET
Christl Arena
View Odds Details →

ARMY

BLACK KNIGHTSARMY

7-7  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
100%
📊
BLACK KNIGHTS
0%
RAIDERS --
BLACK KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
ARMY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Army)
RaidersCOLG (-3.5) 0 Black KnightsARMY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raiders Cover

18.4%

Black Knights Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ARMY -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARMY)

COLG By 1-7 points

12.2%

COLG By 8-14 points

4.0%

ARMY By 1-7 points

24.3%

ARMY By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
68
COLGATE
77
ARMY
Simulated Score
68
COLGATE
75
ARMY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Black Knights Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Black Knights Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Black Knights (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Black Knights (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 4, 2026 ARMY @ COLG 55 - 69
Jan 3, 2026 COLG @ ARMY 76 - 69
Mar 6, 2025 ARMY @ COLG 55 - 84
Jan 29, 2025 COLG @ ARMY 72 - 84
Jan 2, 2025 ARMY @ COLG 59 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +29.7% more
Army: 13.4 vs Colgate: 10.3
Rebounding (L5) +28.7% more
Army: 43.0 vs Colgate: 33.4
Assists (L5) +10.0% more
Army: 17.5 vs Colgate: 15.9
Free Throw % (L5) +4.3%
Army: 72.0% vs Colgate: 67.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COLG Score 68.0 76
ARMY Score 77.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.7 / 36.3 39.0 / 37.0
Assists 17.5 / 15.9 18.0 / 17.0
Blocks 1.5 / 3.6 2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 45.4 / 47.6 42.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 72.0 / 67.7 55.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 43.0 / 33.4 34.0 / 33.0
Steals 4.8 / 5.7 3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.4 / 10.3 8.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
74%MONEY26%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
74%MONEY26%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
51%MONEY49%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLG Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
ARMY
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLG
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
ARMY Advantage
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.9
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARMY
COLG
ARMY
COLG
ML
44% 14-18
59% 19-13
50% 16-16
69% 22-10
ATS
44% 14-18
72% 23-9
50% 16-16
70% 23-10
TTL
81% 26-6
78% 25-7
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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