LONGWOOD
LANCERSLONG
9-7 | Road
67
HIGH POINT
PANTHERSHPU
13-3 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
LANCERS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
LANCERS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
HIGH POINT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (High Point)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HPU -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HPU)
LONG By 1-7 points
0.0%
LONG By 8-14 points
0.0%
HPU By 1-7 points
0.1%
HPU By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Longwood
53
LONGWOOD
High Point
93
HIGH POINT
Simulated Score
Longwood
74
LONGWOOD
High Point
78
HIGH POINT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (-16.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
HPU @ LONG
71 - 59
Jan 3, 2026
LONG @ HPU
67 - 80
Feb 13, 2025
LONG @ HPU
72 - 83
Jan 16, 2025
HPU @ LONG
80 - 82
Mar 9, 2024
LONG @ HPU
80 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+20.8% more
High Point: 17.9
vs
Longwood: 14.8
Steals (L5)
+15.0% more
High Point: 8.6
vs
Longwood: 7.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+14.7%
High Point: 47.4%
vs
Longwood: 32.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.8%
High Point: 58.7%
vs
Longwood: 51.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LONG Score
53.0
67
HPU Score
93.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
47.4 / 32.8
30.0 / 35.0
Assists
17.9 / 14.8
15.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.6 / 4.0
7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
58.7 / 51.9
53.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
73.6 / 73.6
77.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
36.9 / 40.0
28.0 / 32.0
Steals
8.6 / 7.5
11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 14.8
10.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LONG
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: +0.1
HPU
Advantage
31-5-0
(86.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LONG
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: +0.1
HPU
Advantage
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LONG
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +2.7
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HPU
LONG
HPU
LONG
ML
80%
28-7
65%
20-11
80%
28-7
68%
21-10
ATS
71%
25-10
68%
21-10
80%
28-7
68%
21-10
TTL
66%
23-12
65%
20-11
100%
35-0
100%
31-0
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