CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
11-23 | Road
112
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
17-17 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
0%
BULLS
100%
HORNETS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
241.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHA -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
CHA By 1-7 points
27.2%
CHA By 8-14 points
23.0%
CHI By 1-7 points
18.6%
CHI By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
123
CHARLOTTE
Chicago
118
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Charlotte
110
CHARLOTTE
Chicago
115
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hornets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hornets (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 241.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 24, 2026
CHA @ CHI
131 - 99
Jan 3, 2026
CHA @ CHI
112 - 99
Dec 12, 2025
CHI @ CHA
129 - 126
Nov 28, 2025
CHI @ CHA
116 - 123
Apr 6, 2025
CHI @ CHA
131 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+20.5% more
Charlotte: 6.7
vs
Chicago: 5.3
Turnovers (L5)
+8.6% more
Charlotte: 14.2
vs
Chicago: 13.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.7%
Charlotte: 42.4%
vs
Chicago: 34.7%
Blocks (L5)
+66.2% more
Chicago: 5.4
vs
Charlotte: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
123.0
112
CHI Score
118.0
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 42.4
27.0 / 37.0
Assists
30.7 / 29.2
32.0 / 23.0
Blocks
5.4 / 3.3
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.0 / 47.8
45.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
81.2 / 78.3
71.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
47.2 / 42.4
43.0 / 52.0
Steals
5.3 / 6.7
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 14.2
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
CHA
CHI
CHA
ML
56%
54-42
61%
60-39
57%
46-35
48%
40-44
ATS
65%
62-33-1
60%
59-40
57%
46-35
48%
40-44
TTL
58%
56-40
58%
57-42
100%
81-0
100%
84-0
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