AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
VANDALS
100%
EAGLES
--
VANDALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
186.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
IDAHO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IDHO +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IDHO)
EWU By 1-7 points
26.8%
EWU By 8-14 points
18.6%
IDHO By 1-7 points
23.0%
IDHO By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Washington
94
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Idaho
92
IDAHO
Simulated Score
Eastern Washington
70
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Idaho
78
IDAHO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Vandals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Vandals (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Vandals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o158.5
Win
Proj Total: 186.0
D
Sim
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
IDHO @ EWU
81 - 68
Mar 2, 2026
IDHO @ EWU
85 - 81
Jan 3, 2026
EWU @ IDHO
81 - 84
Feb 15, 2025
IDHO @ EWU
73 - 75
Jan 18, 2025
EWU @ IDHO
76 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+15.6% more
Eastern Washington: 2.3
vs
Idaho: 1.9
Turnovers (L5)
+10.3% more
Eastern Washington: 12.6
vs
Idaho: 11.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Eastern Washington: 44.2%
vs
Idaho: 42.0%
Rebounding (L5)
+25.3% more
Idaho: 39.1
vs
Eastern Washington: 31.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EWU Score
94.0
81
IDHO Score
92.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 32.5
38.0 / 36.0
Assists
14.1 / 14.0
6.0 / 12.0
Blocks
1.9 / 2.3
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.0 / 44.2
49.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
79.9 / 71.2
72.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
39.1 / 31.2
32.0 / 44.0
Steals
7.3 / 6.2
9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 12.6
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EWU
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
IDHO
Advantage
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EWU
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
IDHO
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.2
IDHO
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IDHO
EWU
IDHO
EWU
ML
56%
20-16
64%
21-12
64%
21-12
69%
22-10
ATS
58%
21-15
64%
21-12
64%
21-12
69%
22-10
TTL
69%
25-11
48%
16-17
100%
33-0
100%
32-0