MINNESOTA
GOLDEN GOPHERSMINN
8-5 | Road
84
NORTHWESTERN
WILDCATSNU
8-5 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GOPHERS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
GOLDEN GOPHERS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
NORTHWESTERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Northwestern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NU -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NU)
MINN By 1-7 points
0.1%
MINN By 8-14 points
0.0%
NU By 1-7 points
0.6%
NU By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
60
MINNESOTA
Northwestern
92
NORTHWESTERN
Simulated Score
Minnesota
68
MINNESOTA
Northwestern
72
NORTHWESTERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
NU @ MINN
66 - 67
Jan 3, 2026
MINN @ NU
84 - 78
Mar 12, 2025
NU @ MINN
72 - 64
Feb 25, 2025
NU @ MINN
75 - 63
Mar 9, 2024
MINN @ NU
66 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+64.7% more
Northwestern: 4.7
vs
Minnesota: 2.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.3%
Northwestern: 75.2%
vs
Minnesota: 67.9%
Steals (L5)
+43.6% more
Minnesota: 9.3
vs
Northwestern: 5.3
Turnovers (L5)
+31.1% more
Minnesota: 11.6
vs
Northwestern: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MINN Score
60.0
84
NU Score
92.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.9 / 37.3
26.0 / 33.0
Assists
19.2 / 21.0
18.0 / 25.0
Blocks
4.7 / 2.8
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 45.9
49.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
75.2 / 67.9
80.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
35.6 / 34.4
20.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.3 / 9.3
7.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
8.0 / 11.6
4.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MINN
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
NU
15-19-0
(44.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MINN
14-18-1
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
NU
Advantage
16-16-2
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MINN
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.9
NU
15-18-1
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NU
MINN
NU
MINN
ML
47%
16-18
48%
16-17
68%
23-11
71%
22-9
ATS
50%
17-17
55%
18-15
68%
23-11
71%
22-9
TTL
53%
18-16
52%
17-16
100%
34-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
Rylan Griffen Secures Spot on Texas A&M's 2026-27 Roster After N…
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…