WYOMING
COWBOYSWYO
10-3 | Road
58
NEW MEXICO
LOBOSUNM
10-3 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
100%
LOBOS
0%
COWBOYS
--
LOBOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
175.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
NEW MEXICO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (New Mexico)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNM -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNM)
WYO By 1-7 points
0.0%
WYO By 8-14 points
0.0%
UNM By 1-7 points
0.0%
UNM By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Wyoming
65
WYOMING
New Mexico
110
NEW MEXICO
Simulated Score
Wyoming
73
WYOMING
New Mexico
78
NEW MEXICO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lobos
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lobos
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lobos (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
D
Sim
Lobos (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 175.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 3, 2026
WYO @ UNM
58 - 78
Feb 12, 2025
WYO @ UNM
67 - 71
Jan 7, 2025
UNM @ WYO
61 - 53
Feb 6, 2024
UNM @ WYO
91 - 73
Jan 6, 2024
WYO @ UNM
60 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+49.4% more
New Mexico: 3.6
vs
Wyoming: 2.4
Steals (L5)
+35.3% more
Wyoming: 9.3
vs
New Mexico: 6.0
Turnovers (L5)
+26.4% more
Wyoming: 14.1
vs
New Mexico: 10.4
Assists (L5)
+10.4% more
Wyoming: 13.3
vs
New Mexico: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WYO Score
65.0
58
UNM Score
110.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.1 / 32.2
41.0 / 25.0
Assists
11.9 / 13.3
15.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.6 / 2.4
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.2 / 43.8
47.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
76.6 / 81.6
75.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
36.7 / 35.1
37.0 / 30.0
Steals
6.0 / 9.3
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 14.1
9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WYO
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
UNM
Advantage
26-11-0
(70.3%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WYO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
UNM
Advantage
19-16-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
UNM
23-12-0
O: 65.7% / U: 34.3%
Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNM
WYO
UNM
WYO
ML
57%
21-16
52%
17-16
74%
25-9
70%
23-10
ATS
57%
21-16
64%
21-12
74%
25-9
70%
23-10
TTL
41%
15-22
64%
21-12
100%
34-0
100%
33-0
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