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UC IRVINE

ANTEATERSUCI

10-5  |  Road

86
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Titan Gym
View Odds Details →

CAL STATE FULLERTON

TITANSCSUF

6-9  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
ANTEATERS
0%
📊
TITANS
100%
ANTEATERS --
TITANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
AnteatersUCI (-3.5) 0 TitansCSUF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Anteaters Cover

46.0%

Titans Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CSUF +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSUF)

UCI By 1-7 points

26.2%

UCI By 8-14 points

16.9%

CSUF By 1-7 points

24.3%

CSUF By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
65
UC IRVINE
64
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Simulated Score
68
UC IRVINE
72
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Anteaters Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Titans Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Titans (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Titans (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 CSUF @ UCI 65 - 86
Jan 3, 2026 UCI @ CSUF 86 - 64
Feb 27, 2025 UCI @ CSUF 76 - 51
Jan 16, 2025 CSUF @ UCI 62 - 82
Mar 9, 2024 UCI @ CSUF 81 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +54.9% more
UC Irvine: 5.6 vs Cal State Fullerton: 2.5
Assists (L5) +15.4% more
UC Irvine: 17.0 vs Cal State Fullerton: 14.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.8%
UC Irvine: 44.4% vs Cal State Fullerton: 32.6%
Steals (L5) +86.2% more
Cal State Fullerton: 10.7 vs UC Irvine: 5.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UCI Score 65.0 86
CSUF Score 64.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.6 / 44.4 37.0 / 46.0
Assists 14.4 / 17.0 15.0 / 19.0
Blocks 2.5 / 5.6 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 48.5 / 49.2 33.0 / 56.0
Free Throw % 70.8 / 69.7 75.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 32.2 / 34.2 31.0 / 44.0
Steals 10.7 / 5.7 6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 12.1 10.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
73%MONEY27%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
55%MONEY45%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCI Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
CSUF
18-16-0 (52.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCI
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
CSUF Advantage
19-11-2 (63.3%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -2.8
CSUF
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSUF
UCI
CSUF
UCI
ML
68% 23-11
57% 20-15
76% 26-8
53% 18-16
ATS
68% 23-11
63% 22-13
76% 26-8
53% 18-16
TTL
59% 20-14
57% 20-15
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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