BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
21-12 | Road
146
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
12-21 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
CLIPPERS
100%
CELTICS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1-7 points
24.3%
BOS By 8-14 points
26.8%
LAC By 1-7 points
12.2%
LAC By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
113
BOSTON
LA
104
LA
Simulated Score
Boston
109
BOSTON
LA
112
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Celtics (-1)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u220.0
Loss
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Sim
u220.0
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 3, 2026
BOS @ LAC
146 - 115
Nov 16, 2025
LAC @ BOS
118 - 121
Jan 22, 2025
BOS @ LAC
117 - 113
Nov 25, 2024
LAC @ BOS
94 - 126
Jan 27, 2024
LAC @ BOS
115 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+10.3% more
Boston: 12.9
vs
LA: 11.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Boston: 49.7%
vs
LA: 48.0%
Steals (L5)
+10.2% more
LA: 9.4
vs
Boston: 8.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.9%
LA: 86.1%
vs
Boston: 82.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
113.0
146
LAC Score
104.0
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.7 / 36.6
39.0 / 47.0
Assists
22.6 / 23.9
26.0 / 30.0
Blocks
6.6 / 6.1
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
48.0 / 49.7
50.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
86.1 / 82.3
94.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
41.3 / 42.4
30.0 / 46.0
Steals
9.4 / 8.6
4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 12.9
10.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
BOS
LAC
BOS
ML
60%
59-40
57%
61-46
55%
45-37
53%
47-41
ATS
66%
65-33-1
59%
61-43-3
55%
45-37
53%
47-41
TTL
59%
58-40-1
56%
60-47
100%
82-0
100%
88-0
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