Home / NBA Projections NBA / 76ers @ Knicks PHI @ NY

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

18-14  |  Road

130
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 7:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

23-11  |  Home

119
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
📊
KNICKS
100%
76ERS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Philadelphia)
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

72.6%

Knicks Cover

27.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHI -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

PHI By 1-7 points

26.8%

PHI By 8-14 points

24.3%

NY By 1-7 points

16.9%

NY By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
122
PHILADELPHIA
116
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
110
PHILADELPHIA
115
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 76ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knicks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI 76ers (-3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Knicks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o235.0 Win
Proj Total: 238.0
D
Sim u235.0 Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 10, 2026 NY @ PHI 144 - 114
May 8, 2026 NY @ PHI 108 - 94
May 6, 2026 PHI @ NY 102 - 108
May 4, 2026 PHI @ NY 98 - 137
Feb 11, 2026 NY @ PHI 138 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +25.8% more
Philadelphia: 5.6 vs New York: 4.2
Steals (L5) +20.5% more
Philadelphia: 9.9 vs New York: 7.8
Field Goal % (L5) +2.3%
Philadelphia: 46.2% vs New York: 43.9%
Assists (L5) +20.6% more
New York: 29.1 vs Philadelphia: 24.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 122.0 130
NY Score 116.0 119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.8 / 35.1 40.0 / 47.0
Assists 29.1 / 24.1 23.0 / 25.0
Blocks 4.2 / 5.6 2.0 / 10.0
Field Goal % 43.9 / 46.2 43.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 86.2 / 84.5 84.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 47.2 / 42.5 44.0 / 47.0
Steals 7.8 / 9.9 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.9 / 12.9 16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
PHI
NY
PHI
ML
61% 114-72
63% 69-40
56% 57-45
48% 45-48
ATS
67% 124-62
65% 71-38
56% 57-45
48% 45-48
TTL
72% 133-53
55% 60-49
100% 102-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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