Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Hawks DAV @ JOES

DAVIDSON

WILDCATSDAV

8-5  |  Road

62
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 6:00 PM ET
Michael J. Hagan '85 Arena
View Odds Details →

SAINT JOSEPH'S

HAWKSJOES

8-6  |  Home

56
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
📊
HAWKS
100%
WILDCATS --
HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
DAVIDSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Davidson)
WildcatsDAV (-3.5) 0 HawksJOES (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

99.7%

Hawks Cover

0.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DAV -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAV)

DAV By 1-7 points

2.2%

DAV By 8-14 points

8.0%

JOES By 1-7 points

0.3%

JOES By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
81
DAVIDSON
54
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Simulated Score
72
DAVIDSON
75
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hawks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wildcats (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim Hawks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 DAV @ JOES 58 - 70
Mar 4, 2026 JOES @ DAV 70 - 67
Jan 3, 2026 DAV @ JOES 62 - 56
Jan 21, 2025 JOES @ DAV 78 - 61
Mar 9, 2024 DAV @ JOES 71 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +28.7% more
Davidson: 7.5 vs Saint Joseph's: 5.4
Blocks (L5) +11.4% more
Davidson: 4.4 vs Saint Joseph's: 3.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.5%
Davidson: 33.7% vs Saint Joseph's: 28.2%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.8%
Davidson: 41.7% vs Saint Joseph's: 39.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAV Score 81.0 62
JOES Score 54.0 56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.2 / 33.7 14.0 / 33.0
Assists 13.3 / 13.4 8.0 / 6.0
Blocks 3.9 / 4.4 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 39.9 / 41.7 38.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 74.7 / 62.4 71.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 37.8 / 36.5 26.0 / 31.0
Steals 5.4 / 7.5 4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 9.5 11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
80%MONEY20%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DAV
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.1 ATS +/-: +0.9
JOES Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DAV
13-17-2 (43.3%)
Margin: 4.1 ATS +/-: +0.9
JOES Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DAV
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -2.6
JOES
11-23-0
O: 32.4% / U: 67.7% Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JOES
DAV
JOES
DAV
ML
51% 18-17
64% 21-12
61% 20-13
58% 19-14
ATS
60% 21-14
48% 16-17
61% 20-13
58% 19-14
TTL
54% 19-16
52% 17-16
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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