Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wolverines @ Wildcats UVU @ ACU

UTAH VALLEY

WOLVERINESUVU

12-3  |  Road

68
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 4:00 PM ET
Moody Coliseum (Abilene)
View Odds Details →

ABILENE CHRISTIAN

WILDCATSACU

8-6  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
WOLVERINES
0%
📊
WILDCATS
100%
WOLVERINES --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
UTAH VALLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Utah Valley)
WolverinesUVU (-3.5) 0 WildcatsACU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wolverines Cover

99.4%

Wildcats Cover

0.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UVU -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVU)

UVU By 1-7 points

3.3%

UVU By 8-14 points

10.7%

ACU By 1-7 points

0.5%

ACU By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
90
UTAH VALLEY
65
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Simulated Score
68
UTAH VALLEY
73
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wolverines Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wolverines (+7.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o140.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 ACU @ UVU 67 - 74
Feb 5, 2026 ACU @ UVU 55 - 68
Jan 3, 2026 UVU @ ACU 68 - 85
Mar 6, 2025 UVU @ ACU 73 - 60
Jan 4, 2025 ACU @ UVU 53 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +76.8% more
Utah Valley: 5.8 vs Abilene Christian: 1.3
Assists (L5) +40.2% more
Utah Valley: 19.8 vs Abilene Christian: 11.8
Rebounding (L5) +27.3% more
Utah Valley: 38.5 vs Abilene Christian: 28.0
Field Goal % (L5) +8.3%
Utah Valley: 53.6% vs Abilene Christian: 45.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UVU Score 90.0 68
ACU Score 65.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.4 / 32.9 38.0 / 42.0
Assists 11.8 / 19.8 20.0 / 18.0
Blocks 1.3 / 5.8 2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 45.3 / 53.6 54.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 74.9 / 69.6 92.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 28.0 / 38.5 27.0 / 29.0
Steals 9.1 / 8.8 13.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 16.3 / 13.9 10.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
98%TICKETS2%
86%MONEY14%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
62%MONEY38%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
20%MONEY80%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UVU Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
ACU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UVU
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
ACU Advantage
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UVU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.8
ACU
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ACU
UVU
ACU
UVU
ML
67% 22-11
56% 18-14
70% 23-10
72% 23-9
ATS
55% 18-15
53% 17-15
70% 23-10
74% 25-9
TTL
58% 19-14
44% 14-18
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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