Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Eagles @ Bison ORU @ NDSU

ORAL ROBERTS

GOLDEN EAGLESORU

5-11  |  Road

77
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 4:00 PM ET
Scheels Center
View Odds Details →

NORTH DAKOTA STATE

BISONNDSU

11-5  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
📊
BISON
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES --
BISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (North Dakota State)
Golden EaglesORU (-3.5) 0 BisonNDSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Eagles Cover

34.5%

Bison Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NDSU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NDSU)

ORU By 1-7 points

20.1%

ORU By 8-14 points

9.3%

NDSU By 1-7 points

27.4%

NDSU By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
62
ORAL ROBERTS
66
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Simulated Score
73
ORAL ROBERTS
78
NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bison Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bison Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bison (+13.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Bison (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 5, 2026 ORU @ NDSU 65 - 76
Jan 24, 2026 NDSU @ ORU 86 - 58
Jan 3, 2026 ORU @ NDSU 77 - 79
Feb 13, 2025 ORU @ NDSU 88 - 94
Jan 9, 2025 NDSU @ ORU 110 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +31.3% more
North Dakota State: 14.3 vs Oral Roberts: 10.9
Field Goal % (L5) +12.4%
North Dakota State: 50.6% vs Oral Roberts: 38.3%
Steals (L5) +8.6% more
North Dakota State: 8.3 vs Oral Roberts: 7.7
Rebounding (L5) +8.6% more
North Dakota State: 34.7 vs Oral Roberts: 32.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORU Score 62.0 77
NDSU Score 66.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.6 / 25.6 35.0 / 31.0
Assists 14.3 / 10.9 13.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.8 / 3.3 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.6 / 38.3 39.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 66.2 / 72.7 61.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 34.7 / 32.0 50.0 / 34.0
Steals 8.3 / 7.7 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 13.4 16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORU
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
NDSU Advantage
27-8-0 (77.1%)
Margin: 10.1 ATS +/-: +4.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORU
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
NDSU Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 10.1 ATS +/-: +4.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ORU
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.7
NDSU
18-13-2
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NDSU
ORU
NDSU
ORU
ML
49% 17-18
85% 28-5
59% 20-14
73% 24-9
ATS
54% 19-16
82% 27-6
59% 20-14
73% 24-9
TTL
43% 15-20
61% 20-13
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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