HOFSTRA
PRIDEHOF
10-4 | Road
70
DREXEL
DRAGONSDREX
6-9 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
PRIDE
0%
DRAGONS
100%
PRIDE
--
DRAGONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
107.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Hofstra)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOF -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)
HOF By 1-7 points
21.6%
HOF By 8-14 points
27.4%
DREX By 1-7 points
9.3%
DREX By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Hofstra
59
HOFSTRA
Drexel
48
DREXEL
Simulated Score
Hofstra
68
HOFSTRA
Drexel
72
DREXEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pride
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dragons
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pride (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Dragons (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u131.5
Loss
Proj Total: 107.0
D
Sim
u131.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
DREX @ HOF
51 - 62
Jan 3, 2026
HOF @ DREX
70 - 67
Jan 20, 2025
HOF @ DREX
55 - 60
Feb 22, 2024
DREX @ HOF
57 - 69
Feb 15, 2024
HOF @ DREX
77 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+21.6% more
Hofstra: 41.6
vs
Drexel: 32.6
Blocks (L5)
+15.0% more
Hofstra: 3.7
vs
Drexel: 3.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.0%
Hofstra: 43.8%
vs
Drexel: 31.9%
Assists (L5)
+9.4% more
Hofstra: 13.2
vs
Drexel: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOF Score
59.0
70
DREX Score
48.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 43.8
29.0 / 42.0
Assists
12.0 / 13.2
10.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.1 / 3.7
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
41.8 / 48.8
40.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
65.6 / 73.1
60.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
32.6 / 41.6
32.0 / 39.0
Steals
5.3 / 4.4
7.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 12.1
3.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOF
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
DREX
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
DREX
18-13-1
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DREX
HOF
DREX
HOF
ML
58%
19-14
77%
27-8
81%
26-6
71%
25-10
ATS
70%
23-10
83%
29-6
81%
26-6
71%
25-10
TTL
48%
16-17
51%
18-17
100%
32-0
100%
35-0
