Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Buccaneers UNCA @ CHSO

UNC ASHEVILLE

BULLDOGSUNCA

6-9  |  Road

83
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 2:00 PM ET
Buccaneer Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

CHARLESTON SOUTHERN

BUCCANEERSCHSO

10-6  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
BUCCANEERS
0%
BULLDOGS --
BUCCANEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Charleston Southern)
BulldogsUNCA (-3.5) 0 BuccaneersCHSO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

42.1%

Buccaneers Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHSO -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHSO)

UNCA By 1-7 points

23.0%

UNCA By 8-14 points

12.2%

CHSO By 1-7 points

26.8%

CHSO By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
70
UNC ASHEVILLE
72
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
68
UNC ASHEVILLE
76
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Buccaneers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Buccaneers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Buccaneers (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Buccaneers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 CHSO @ UNCA 92 - 75
Jan 3, 2026 UNCA @ CHSO 83 - 86
Mar 7, 2025 CHSO @ UNCA 60 - 80
Feb 15, 2025 CHSO @ UNCA 72 - 75
Jan 25, 2025 UNCA @ CHSO 69 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +84.0% more
Charleston Southern: 5.3 vs UNC Asheville: 2.9
Assists (L5) +63.3% more
Charleston Southern: 14.7 vs UNC Asheville: 9.0
Rebounding (L5) +36.1% more
Charleston Southern: 43.0 vs UNC Asheville: 31.6
Steals (L5) +13.2% more
Charleston Southern: 4.9 vs UNC Asheville: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNCA Score 70.0 83
CHSO Score 72.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.3 / 28.3 32.0 / 33.0
Assists 14.7 / 9.0 18.0 / 9.0
Blocks 5.3 / 2.9 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.4 / 44.5 56.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 67.8 / 65.8 52.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 43.0 / 31.6 38.0 / 38.0
Steals 4.9 / 4.3 5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 12.6 16.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNCA
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
CHSO
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNCA Advantage
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
CHSO
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UNCA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: -2.8
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5% Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHSO
UNCA
CHSO
UNCA
ML
43% 13-17
53% 16-14
67% 20-10
63% 19-11
ATS
50% 15-15
57% 17-13
68% 21-10
63% 19-11
TTL
50% 15-15
60% 18-12
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Nick Saban Declares Georgia the Most Complete Team in College Fo…
si 5 days, 15 hours ago
Kirby Smart Stays Silent on Nate Frazier's Injury Status as Geor…
si 1 week, 3 days ago
Georgia Bulldogs Set to Clash with Oklahoma Sooners as Heavy Fav…
si 2 weeks, 2 days ago
Georgia Bulldogs Release Availability Report for SEC Opener at A…
headtopics 3 weeks ago
Georgia Loses Starting Defensive Lineman Xzavier McLeod Just Day…
si 1 month, 1 week ago