AKRON
ZIPSAKR
10-3 | Road
73
MIAMI (OH)
REDHAWKSM-OH
14-0 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
ZIPS
100%
REDHAWKS
0%
ZIPS
--
REDHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
MIAMI (OH)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (Miami (OH))
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around M-OH -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (M-OH)
AKR By 1-7 points
0.0%
AKR By 8-14 points
0.0%
M-OH By 1-7 points
0.0%
M-OH By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Akron
42
AKRON
Miami (OH)
86
MIAMI (OH)
Simulated Score
Akron
65
AKRON
Miami (OH)
72
MIAMI (OH)
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
RedHawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
RedHawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
RedHawks (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim
RedHawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u177.5
Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim
u177.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 3, 2026
AKR @ M-OH
73 - 76
Mar 15, 2025
M-OH @ AKR
74 - 76
Jan 25, 2025
M-OH @ AKR
75 - 102
Mar 14, 2024
M-OH @ AKR
63 - 75
Jan 27, 2024
AKR @ M-OH
68 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+24.3% more
Miami (OH): 11.7
vs
Akron: 9.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+17.9%
Miami (OH): 51.7%
vs
Akron: 33.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Miami (OH): 58.3%
vs
Akron: 53.6%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.1%
Miami (OH): 81.0%
vs
Akron: 77.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AKR Score
42.0
73
M-OH Score
86.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
51.7 / 33.8
31.0 / 25.0
Assists
19.8 / 20.6
12.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.4
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
58.3 / 53.6
38.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
81.0 / 77.9
83.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
33.9 / 39.3
36.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.3 / 6.3
6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 9.4
15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AKR
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
M-OH
Advantage
32-2-0
(94.1%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AKR
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
M-OH
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +0.2
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
M-OH
AKR
M-OH
AKR
ML
45%
15-18
71%
24-10
41%
13-19
65%
22-12
ATS
61%
20-13
76%
26-8
41%
13-19
65%
22-12
TTL
61%
20-13
59%
20-14
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
