Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Monarchs GASO @ ODU

GEORGIA SOUTHERN

EAGLESGASO

11-5  |  Road

93
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 3:30 PM ET
Chartway Arena
View Odds Details →

OLD DOMINION

MONARCHSODU

4-11  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
MONARCHS
0%
EAGLES --
MONARCHS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
186.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
OLD DOMINION
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Old Dominion)
EaglesGASO (-3.5) 0 MonarchsODU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

42.1%

Monarchs Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ODU -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ODU)

GASO By 1-7 points

23.0%

GASO By 8-14 points

12.2%

ODU By 1-7 points

26.8%

ODU By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
92
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
94
OLD DOMINION
Simulated Score
71
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
75
OLD DOMINION
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Monarchs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Monarchs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Monarchs (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Monarchs (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o160.5 Win
Proj Total: 186.0
D
Sim u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 4, 2026 ODU @ GASO 84 - 88
Jan 15, 2026 ODU @ GASO 84 - 87
Jan 3, 2026 GASO @ ODU 93 - 86
Feb 15, 2025 ODU @ GASO 75 - 78
Jan 18, 2025 GASO @ ODU 67 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +23.7% more
Old Dominion: 10.5 vs Georgia Southern: 8.5
Assists (L5) +9.8% more
Old Dominion: 11.3 vs Georgia Southern: 10.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.1%
Old Dominion: 35.3% vs Georgia Southern: 29.1%
Blocks (L5) +34.6% more
Georgia Southern: 4.0 vs Old Dominion: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GASO Score 92.0 93
ODU Score 94.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.3 / 29.1 30.0 / 33.0
Assists 11.3 / 10.3 14.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.6 / 4.0 3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 41.2 / 43.0 39.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 68.9 / 77.3 80.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 34.1 / 38.2 39.0 / 47.0
Steals 5.1 / 7.6 8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 8.5 8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
69%MONEY31%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
76%MONEY24%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GASO Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: -0.1
ODU
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GASO
17-18-0 (48.6%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: -0.1
ODU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
GASO
18-17-0
O: 51.4% / U: 48.6% Total +/-: +2.6
ODU
21-10-1
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3% Total +/-: +3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ODU
GASO
ODU
GASO
ML
52% 17-16
56% 20-16
67% 22-11
58% 19-14
ATS
70% 23-10
64% 23-13
67% 22-11
58% 19-14
TTL
70% 23-10
61% 22-14
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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