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COLORADO

BUFFALOESCOLO

10-3  |  Road

95
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 5:00 PM ET
Desert Financial Arena
View Odds Details →

ARIZONA STATE

SUN DEVILSASU

9-4  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
BUFFALOES
0%
📊
SUN DEVILS
100%
BUFFALOES --
SUN DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Colorado)
BuffaloesCOLO (-3.5) 0 Sun DevilsASU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Buffaloes Cover

88.5%

Sun Devils Cover

11.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COLO -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLO)

COLO By 1-7 points

20.1%

COLO By 8-14 points

27.2%

ASU By 1-7 points

8.0%

ASU By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
69
COLORADO
57
ARIZONA STATE
Simulated Score
68
COLORADO
75
ARIZONA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Buffaloes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sun Devils Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Buffaloes (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Sun Devils (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u158.5 Loss
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim u158.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 ASU @ COLO 70 - 78
Jan 3, 2026 COLO @ ASU 95 - 89
Jan 28, 2025 ASU @ COLO 70 - 68
Jan 4, 2025 COLO @ ASU 61 - 81
Feb 8, 2024 ASU @ COLO 70 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +8.1% more
Colorado: 35.1 vs Arizona State: 32.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.3%
Colorado: 31.5% vs Arizona State: 29.2%
Blocks (L5) +11.3% more
Arizona State: 3.8 vs Colorado: 3.5
Turnovers (L5) +9.9% more
Arizona State: 11.3 vs Colorado: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COLO Score 69.0 95
ASU Score 57.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.2 / 31.5 21.0 / 31.0
Assists 13.9 / 14.2 19.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.8 / 3.5 10.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 46.3 / 45.8 46.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 83.0 / 83.8 78.0 / 84.0
Rebounding 32.3 / 35.1 32.0 / 42.0
Steals 7.0 / 6.8 7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 10.2 14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
55%MONEY45%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLO
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
ASU
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLO
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
ASU Advantage
20-12-1 (62.5%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +4.8
ASU
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ASU
COLO
ASU
COLO
ML
52% 17-16
61% 20-13
68% 21-10
69% 22-10
ATS
52% 17-16
73% 24-9
68% 21-10
69% 22-10
TTL
64% 21-12
45% 15-18
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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