CHATTANOOGA
MOCSUTC
6-8 | Road
71
VMI
KEYDETSVMI
5-9 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
MOCS
0%
KEYDETS
100%
MOCS
--
KEYDETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
VMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VMI +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VMI)
UTC By 1-7 points
26.8%
UTC By 8-14 points
18.6%
VMI By 1-7 points
23.0%
VMI By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Chattanooga
84
CHATTANOOGA
VMI
82
VMI
Simulated Score
Chattanooga
65
CHATTANOOGA
VMI
78
VMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mocs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Keydets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Keydets (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Keydets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o149.5
Win
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
VMI @ UTC
79 - 86
Jan 3, 2026
UTC @ VMI
71 - 79
Mar 1, 2025
UTC @ VMI
91 - 70
Jan 12, 2025
VMI @ UTC
66 - 91
Feb 8, 2024
UTC @ VMI
88 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+11.6% more
Chattanooga: 7.3
vs
VMI: 6.5
Assists (L5)
+11.2% more
Chattanooga: 15.5
vs
VMI: 13.8
Blocks (L5)
+8.3% more
Chattanooga: 2.5
vs
VMI: 2.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.3%
Chattanooga: 45.1%
vs
VMI: 40.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTC Score
84.0
71
VMI Score
82.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 34.9
30.0 / 29.0
Assists
13.8 / 15.5
13.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.3 / 2.5
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
40.7 / 45.1
44.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
75.4 / 68.6
72.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 31.1
39.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.5 / 7.3
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 8.4
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTC
Advantage
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: -3.7
VMI
6-26-0
(18.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTC
Advantage
12-17-0
(41.4%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: -3.7
VMI
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UTC
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.8
VMI
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VMI
UTC
VMI
UTC
ML
53%
17-15
48%
15-16
84%
27-5
53%
16-14
ATS
50%
16-16
52%
16-15
84%
27-5
55%
17-14
TTL
62%
20-12
77%
24-7
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
Houston's Gritty Showing Against Texas Tech Sparks Big 12 Title …
DeVonta Smith's Star Turn Lifts Eagles Over Titans in Thrilling …
The Miss That Shaped a Legend: Laettner's Freshman Failure Fuele…
Aug 30, 2025; Memphis, Tennessee, USA; Memphis Tigers kicker Gia…
Mar 18, 2025; Dayton, OH, USA; San Diego State Aztecs head coach…