Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bobcats @ Eagles OHIO @ EMU

OHIO

BOBCATSOHIO

7-7  |  Road

68
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 2:00 PM ET
Gervin GameAbove Center
View Odds Details →

EASTERN MICHIGAN

EAGLESEMU

7-7  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
0%
📊
EAGLES
100%
BOBCATS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
OHIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Ohio)
BobcatsOHIO (-3.5) 0 EaglesEMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bobcats Cover

93.3%

Eagles Cover

6.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OHIO -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OHIO)

OHIO By 1-7 points

15.3%

OHIO By 8-14 points

25.3%

EMU By 1-7 points

4.8%

EMU By 8-14 points

1.1%

AI Model Projected Score
91
OHIO
76
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
68
OHIO
75
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bobcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bobcats (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 3, 2026 OHIO @ EMU 68 - 67
Mar 4, 2025 EMU @ OHIO 83 - 79
Jan 21, 2025 OHIO @ EMU 87 - 94
Jan 20, 2024 EMU @ OHIO 67 - 85
Jan 31, 2023 OHIO @ EMU 79 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +23.7% more
Ohio: 7.7 vs Eastern Michigan: 5.9
Assists (L5) +20.8% more
Ohio: 15.4 vs Eastern Michigan: 12.2
Turnovers (L5) +15.5% more
Ohio: 12.3 vs Eastern Michigan: 10.4
Field Goal % (L5) +2.0%
Ohio: 45.9% vs Eastern Michigan: 43.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OHIO Score 91.0 68
EMU Score 76.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 23.6 44.0 / 26.0
Assists 12.2 / 15.4 10.0 / 9.0
Blocks 4.9 / 4.3 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.8 / 45.9 40.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 67.4 / 67.3 67.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 37.6 / 36.6 38.0 / 35.0
Steals 5.9 / 7.7 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 12.3 11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
77%MONEY23%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OHIO Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -3.0
EMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OHIO
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -3.0
EMU Advantage
20-10-0 (66.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
OHIO
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.5
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EMU
OHIO
EMU
OHIO
ML
65% 20-11
65% 20-11
70% 21-9
63% 19-11
ATS
65% 20-11
68% 21-10
70% 21-9
63% 19-11
TTL
71% 22-9
61% 19-12
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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