VCU
RAMSVCU
10-4 | Road
93
DUQUESNE
DUKESDUQ
9-5 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
DUKES
0%
RAMS
--
DUKES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
DUQUESNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Duquesne)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DUQ -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUQ)
VCU By 1-7 points
9.3%
VCU By 8-14 points
2.7%
DUQ By 1-7 points
21.6%
DUQ By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
VCU
63
VCU
Duquesne
74
DUQUESNE
Simulated Score
VCU
68
VCU
Duquesne
72
DUQUESNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dukes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dukes
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dukes (+5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Dukes (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u165.5
Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u165.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
DUQ @ VCU
66 - 71
Jan 3, 2026
VCU @ DUQ
93 - 80
Mar 4, 2025
VCU @ DUQ
71 - 62
Mar 17, 2024
DUQ @ VCU
57 - 51
Mar 5, 2024
DUQ @ VCU
69 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+35.9% more
Duquesne: 45.8
vs
VCU: 33.7
Turnovers (L5)
+34.8% more
Duquesne: 12.4
vs
VCU: 9.2
Steals (L5)
+24.4% more
Duquesne: 7.6
vs
VCU: 6.1
Assists (L5)
+15.6% more
Duquesne: 18.7
vs
VCU: 16.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VCU Score
63.0
93
DUQ Score
74.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.0 / 37.2
35.0 / 44.0
Assists
18.7 / 16.2
17.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.0
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 53.1
53.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
75.6 / 82.9
64.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
45.8 / 33.7
25.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.6 / 6.1
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 9.2
13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VCU
Advantage
28-8-0
(77.8%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
DUQ
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VCU
Advantage
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
DUQ
14-16-1
(46.7%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
DUQ
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUQ
VCU
DUQ
VCU
ML
53%
17-15
72%
26-10
58%
18-13
67%
22-11
ATS
69%
22-10
81%
29-7
58%
18-13
67%
22-11
TTL
50%
16-16
58%
21-15
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
LSU vs. McNeese: The Deep In-State Ties Behind Saturday's Rare S…
Big Ten Road Warriors: Historic Saturday Shakes Up Conference Po…
Gonzaga vs. Duke: February Showdown Details Revealed, Including …
Arizona, Arkansas, and Duke Set to Ignite 2026 Midnight Madness …
Melvin Council Jr. Takes Legal Battle to New York, Leaving Kansa…