CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
15-18-7 | Road
3
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
21-15-5 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Spencer Knight
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Logan Thompson
#48 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | None-None | 1.85 | 0.941 | -- |
| Logan Thompson | None-None | 1.85 | 0.939 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.85
GAA
1.85
0.941 Ldr
Save %
0.939
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLACKHAWKS
100%
CAPITALS
0%
BLACKHAWKS
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
CHI By 1 goal
12.1%
CHI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
WSH By 1 goal
19.7%
WSH By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
2
CHICAGO
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Washington
4
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Capitals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Capitals (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Capitals (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 9, 2026
WSH @ CHI
5 - 1
Jan 3, 2026
CHI @ WSH
3 - 2
Apr 4, 2025
CHI @ WSH
3 - 5
Dec 17, 2024
WSH @ CHI
2 - 3
Mar 9, 2024
CHI @ WSH
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+45.3% more
Washington: 19.0
vs
Chicago: 13.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+28.4% more
Washington: 28.7
vs
Chicago: 22.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.2%
Washington: 51.9%
vs
Chicago: 47.7%
Hits (L5)
+22.2% more
Chicago: 22.0
vs
Washington: 17.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
2.0
3
WSH Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.0 / 13.1
19.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
51.9 / 47.7
51.0 / 49.0
Hits
17.1 / 22.0
23.0 / 11.0
Power Play %
20.9 / 28.2
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
28.7 / 22.3
34.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 5.3
2.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CHI
WSH
CHI
ML
100%
3-0
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
60%
3-2
ATS
100%
3-0
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
80%
4-1
TTL
33%
1-2
25%
1-3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1-1
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show at Capitals' Home Opener as Washi…
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…
Gavin McKenna Nets First NHL Goal and Assist in Maple Leafs' Ove…