COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
30-2-7 | Road
5
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
24-13-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jaccob Slavin
#74 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 3.00 | 0.893 | -- |
| Jaccob Slavin | 17-1 | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
17-1
3.00
GAA
--
0.893
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
HURRICANES
100%
AVALANCHE
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1 goal
6.6%
COL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
CAR By 1 goal
0.9%
CAR By 2-3 goals
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
5
COLORADO
Carolina
1
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Avalanche (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 3, 2026
COL @ CAR
5 - 3
Oct 23, 2025
CAR @ COL
5 - 4
Dec 5, 2024
COL @ CAR
3 - 5
Nov 9, 2024
CAR @ COL
4 - 6
Feb 8, 2024
COL @ CAR
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.9% more
Colorado: 35.3
vs
Carolina: 28.7
Hits (L5)
+54.7% more
Carolina: 21.2
vs
Colorado: 13.7
Takeaways (L5)
+45.3% more
Carolina: 6.6
vs
Colorado: 4.5
Power Play % (L5)
+12.8%
Carolina: 31.5%
vs
Colorado: 18.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
5.0
5
CAR Score
1.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.1 / 10.5
15.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
52.6 / 51.8
37.1 / 62.9
Hits
21.2 / 13.7
18.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
31.5 / 18.7
33.3 / 40.0
Shots on Goal
28.7 / 35.3
28.0 / 34.0
Takeaways
6.6 / 4.5
2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
COL
CAR
COL
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
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