WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
15-20-4 | Road
2
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
19-15-5 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Artem Zub
#2 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 4.18 | 0.852 | -- |
| Artem Zub | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.18
GAA
--
0.852
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
0%
SENATORS
100%
JETS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
WPG By 1 goal
12.1%
WPG By 2-3 goals
37.2%
OTT By 1 goal
2.8%
OTT By 2-3 goals
1.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
4
WINNIPEG
Ottawa
1
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jets (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Senators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 3, 2026
WPG @ OTT
2 - 4
Dec 15, 2025
OTT @ WPG
3 - 2
Feb 26, 2025
WPG @ OTT
4 - 1
Dec 28, 2024
OTT @ WPG
2 - 4
Mar 30, 2024
OTT @ WPG
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+9.1%
Winnipeg: 20.4%
vs
Ottawa: 11.2%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.7% more
Winnipeg: 32.7
vs
Ottawa: 29.8
Hits (L5)
+17.2% more
Ottawa: 25.8
vs
Winnipeg: 22.0
Takeaways (L5)
+12.2% more
Ottawa: 4.8
vs
Winnipeg: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
4.0
2
OTT Score
1.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.5 / 11.7
19.0 / 7.0
Faceoff %
50.8 / 49.0
41.1 / 58.9
Hits
25.8 / 22.0
20.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
11.2 / 20.4
40.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.8 / 32.7
27.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 4.3
5.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
WPG
OTT
WPG
ML
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
100%
4-0
TTL
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
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