UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
19-19-3 | Road
1
NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
21-17-2 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Karel Vejmelka
#70 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Colton White
#45 | D| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | None-None | 4.00 | 0.867 | -- |
| Colton White | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.00
GAA
--
0.867
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
100%
DEVILS
0%
MAMMOTH
--
DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New Jersey)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NJ -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)
UTA By 1 goal
6.6%
UTA By 2-3 goals
3.7%
NJ By 1 goal
17.5%
NJ By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
3
UTAH
New Jersey
5
NEW JERSEY
Simulated Score
Utah
3
UTAH
New Jersey
4
NEW JERSEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Devils
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Devils
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Devils (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Devils (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 6, 2026
UTA @ NJ
5 - 3
Jan 3, 2026
UTA @ NJ
1 - 4
Dec 19, 2025
NJ @ UTA
2 - 1
Mar 1, 2025
NJ @ UTA
3 - 1
Oct 14, 2024
UTA @ NJ
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+52.2% more
New Jersey: 4.8
vs
Utah: 3.2
Shots on Goal (L5)
+25.3% more
New Jersey: 32.8
vs
Utah: 26.1
Power Play % (L5)
+19.3%
New Jersey: 41.2%
vs
Utah: 22.0%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+22.9% more
Utah: 15.1
vs
New Jersey: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTA Score
3.0
1
NJ Score
5.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.6 / 15.1
14.0 / 8.0
Faceoff %
48.2 / 50.7
51.9 / 48.1
Hits
17.0 / 16.7
24.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
41.2 / 22.0
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.8 / 26.1
30.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 3.2
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
UTA
NJ
UTA
ML
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
67%
2-1
60%
3-2
ATS
0%
0-3
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
TTL
0%
0-2-1
60%
3-2
50%
1-1-1
80%
4-1
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