BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
21-14-4 | Road
1
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
17-16-6 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jet Greaves
#73 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 4.10 | 0.882 | -- |
| Jet Greaves | None-None | 1.00 | 0.970 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.10
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.882
Save %
Ldr 0.970
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
BLUE JACKETS
0%
SABRES
--
BLUE JACKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Columbus)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
BUF By 1 goal
2.8%
BUF By 2-3 goals
1.2%
CBJ By 1 goal
12.1%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Columbus
5
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Columbus
3
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jackets
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Blue Jackets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 1, 2026
BUF @ CBJ
3 - 6
Apr 9, 2026
CBJ @ BUF
0 - 5
Jan 3, 2026
BUF @ CBJ
1 - 5
Oct 28, 2025
CBJ @ BUF
4 - 3
Sep 23, 2025
CBJ @ BUF
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+14.4% more
Columbus: 6.0
vs
Buffalo: 5.2
Hits (L5)
+13.0% more
Columbus: 22.5
vs
Buffalo: 19.9
Blocked Shots (L5)
+9.7% more
Columbus: 13.8
vs
Buffalo: 12.6
Power Play % (L5)
+5.3%
Columbus: 7.9%
vs
Buffalo: 2.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
2.0
1
CBJ Score
5.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.8 / 12.6
13.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
51.2 / 50.9
47.5 / 52.5
Hits
22.5 / 19.9
23.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
794.0 / 262.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.5 / 30.4
35.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
6.0 / 5.2
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
BUF
CBJ
BUF
ML
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
100%
2-0
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
TTL
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-2
50%
2-2
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