ALABAMA A&M
BULLDOGSAAMU
7-6 | Road
83
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
GOLDEN LIONSUAPB
3-10 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
GOLDEN LIONS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
GOLDEN LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Arkansas-Pine Bluff)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UAPB -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UAPB)
AAMU By 1-7 points
0.1%
AAMU By 8-14 points
0.0%
UAPB By 1-7 points
1.1%
UAPB By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Alabama A&M
53
ALABAMA A&M
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
83
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Simulated Score
Alabama A&M
71
ALABAMA A&M
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
76
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Lions
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Lions
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Lions (+2)
Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim
Golden Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 16, 2026
UAPB @ AAMU
70 - 82
Jan 3, 2026
AAMU @ UAPB
83 - 95
Feb 17, 2025
AAMU @ UAPB
75 - 61
Jan 4, 2025
UAPB @ AAMU
79 - 89
Feb 19, 2024
UAPB @ AAMU
67 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+109.0% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 28.3
vs
Alabama A&M: 13.5
Steals (L5)
+97.1% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 8.8
vs
Alabama A&M: 4.5
Turnovers (L5)
+36.4% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 14.3
vs
Alabama A&M: 10.5
Rebounding (L5)
+15.5% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 45.8
vs
Alabama A&M: 39.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AAMU Score
53.0
83
UAPB Score
83.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.5 / 32.8
53.0 / 24.0
Assists
28.3 / 13.5
17.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.3 / 3.1
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
52.7 / 44.2
57.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
75.3 / 71.2
81.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
45.8 / 39.7
28.0 / 30.0
Steals
8.8 / 4.5
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 10.5
10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AAMU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
UAPB
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -3.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AAMU
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
UAPB
13-16-1
(44.8%)
Margin: -3.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
AAMU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.3
UAPB
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UAPB
AAMU
UAPB
AAMU
ML
74%
23-8
55%
16-13
73%
19-7
67%
16-8
ATS
73%
22-8-1
55%
16-13
73%
19-7
67%
16-8
TTL
68%
21-10
66%
19-10
100%
26-0
100%
24-0
Contextual Game News
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