KANSAS CITY
ROOSKC
3-12 | Road
73
OMAHA
MAVERICKSOMA
7-9 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
ROOS
0%
MAVERICKS
100%
ROOS
--
MAVERICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
OMAHA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OMA +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OMA)
KC By 1-7 points
27.4%
KC By 8-14 points
21.6%
OMA By 1-7 points
20.1%
OMA By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas City
93
KANSAS CITY
Omaha
89
OMAHA
Simulated Score
Kansas City
72
KANSAS CITY
Omaha
75
OMAHA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Roos
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mavericks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mavericks (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Mavericks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 24, 2026
OMA @ KC
77 - 60
Jan 3, 2026
KC @ OMA
73 - 66
Mar 6, 2025
KC @ OMA
61 - 70
Feb 19, 2025
OMA @ KC
78 - 66
Jan 8, 2025
KC @ OMA
58 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+58.5% more
Kansas City: 2.8
vs
Omaha: 1.2
Turnovers (L5)
+36.3% more
Kansas City: 13.6
vs
Omaha: 8.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.0%
Kansas City: 72.7%
vs
Omaha: 68.6%
Steals (L5)
+25.4% more
Omaha: 7.3
vs
Kansas City: 5.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KC Score
93.0
73
OMA Score
89.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.5 / 31.1
37.0 / 39.0
Assists
13.7 / 12.7
11.0 / 10.0
Blocks
1.2 / 2.8
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 42.3
48.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
68.6 / 72.7
64.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
34.1 / 36.2
35.0 / 30.0
Steals
7.3 / 5.8
4.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
8.6 / 13.6
15.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
4-27-0
(12.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
OMA
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
5-23-0
(17.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
OMA
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
OMA
14-14-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OMA
KC
OMA
KC
ML
79%
26-7
63%
19-11
67%
22-11
67%
20-10
ATS
76%
25-8
67%
20-10
67%
22-11
67%
20-10
TTL
73%
24-9
70%
21-9
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
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