HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
HUSKIESHCU
5-8 | Road
56
INCARNATE WORD
CARDINALSUIW
7-6 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
CARDINALS
100%
HUSKIES
--
CARDINALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
110.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Houston Christian)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HCU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HCU)
HCU By 1-7 points
25.3%
HCU By 8-14 points
26.2%
UIW By 1-7 points
13.7%
UIW By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston Christian
59
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Incarnate Word
51
INCARNATE WORD
Simulated Score
Houston Christian
71
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Incarnate Word
78
INCARNATE WORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Huskies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cardinals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Huskies (-5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Cardinals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 110.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 27, 2026
UIW @ HCU
75 - 81
Jan 3, 2026
HCU @ UIW
56 - 73
Feb 1, 2025
HCU @ UIW
64 - 74
Jan 11, 2025
UIW @ HCU
76 - 81
Feb 10, 2024
UIW @ HCU
83 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+19.9% more
Houston Christian: 13.3
vs
Incarnate Word: 10.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.6%
Houston Christian: 73.4%
vs
Incarnate Word: 69.7%
Blocks (L5)
+31.3% more
Incarnate Word: 3.2
vs
Houston Christian: 2.4
Rebounding (L5)
+29.9% more
Incarnate Word: 35.4
vs
Houston Christian: 27.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HCU Score
59.0
56
UIW Score
51.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.6 / 30.8
29.0 / 25.0
Assists
13.1 / 12.7
4.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.2 / 2.4
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 45.7
45.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
69.7 / 73.4
75.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
35.4 / 27.2
36.0 / 39.0
Steals
5.7 / 5.7
8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 13.3
8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HCU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
UIW
Advantage
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HCU
Advantage
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
UIW
10-18-0
(35.7%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.1
UIW
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UIW
HCU
UIW
HCU
ML
47%
14-16
68%
21-10
76%
22-7
81%
25-6
ATS
53%
16-14
58%
18-13
77%
23-7
81%
26-6
TTL
60%
18-12
68%
21-10
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
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