NEW ORLEANS
PRIVATEERSUNO
4-9 | Road
68
NORTHWESTERN STATE
DEMONSNWST
3-10 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
PRIVATEERS
100%
DEMONS
0%
PRIVATEERS
--
DEMONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
NORTHWESTERN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Northwestern State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NWST -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NWST)
UNO By 1-7 points
0.6%
UNO By 8-14 points
0.1%
NWST By 1-7 points
4.0%
NWST By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New Orleans
64
NEW ORLEANS
Northwestern State
88
NORTHWESTERN STATE
Simulated Score
New Orleans
71
NEW ORLEANS
Northwestern State
76
NORTHWESTERN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Demons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Demons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Demons (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim
Demons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
NWST @ UNO
64 - 75
Jan 3, 2026
UNO @ NWST
68 - 74
Feb 22, 2025
NWST @ UNO
73 - 66
Jan 20, 2025
UNO @ NWST
61 - 73
Feb 12, 2024
UNO @ NWST
59 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+88.6% more
New Orleans: 5.2
vs
Northwestern State: 0.6
Turnovers (L5)
+22.8% more
New Orleans: 15.0
vs
Northwestern State: 11.6
Rebounding (L5)
+20.6% more
New Orleans: 34.9
vs
Northwestern State: 27.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.8%
New Orleans: 76.1%
vs
Northwestern State: 70.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNO Score
64.0
68
NWST Score
88.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.6 / 33.7
37.0 / 19.0
Assists
10.2 / 10.8
14.0 / 11.0
Blocks
0.6 / 5.2
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
42.8 / 45.1
41.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
70.2 / 76.1
81.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
27.7 / 34.9
34.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.0 / 5.9
10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 15.0
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNO
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
NWST
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -4.1
ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNO
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
NWST
16-13-1
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.1
ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4%
Total +/-: +2.0
NWST
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NWST
UNO
NWST
UNO
ML
68%
21-10
52%
16-15
77%
23-7
57%
17-13
ATS
68%
21-10
52%
16-15
77%
23-7
57%
17-13
TTL
39%
12-19
58%
18-13
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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