EASTERN KENTUCKY
COLONELSEKU
4-10 | Road
76
WEST GEORGIA
WOLVESWGA
7-6 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
COLONELS
100%
WOLVES
0%
COLONELS
--
WOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
WEST GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (West Georgia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WGA -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WGA)
EKU By 1-7 points
2.7%
EKU By 8-14 points
0.5%
WGA By 1-7 points
10.7%
WGA By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Kentucky
71
EASTERN KENTUCKY
West Georgia
89
WEST GEORGIA
Simulated Score
Eastern Kentucky
73
EASTERN KENTUCKY
West Georgia
78
WEST GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wolves (+2)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Wolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o156.5
Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
WGA @ EKU
80 - 81
Jan 3, 2026
EKU @ WGA
76 - 88
Feb 13, 2025
WGA @ EKU
73 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+58.5% more
West Georgia: 4.7
vs
Eastern Kentucky: 2.9
Steals (L5)
+28.4% more
West Georgia: 6.1
vs
Eastern Kentucky: 4.7
Turnovers (L5)
+13.3% more
West Georgia: 11.2
vs
Eastern Kentucky: 9.9
Rebounding (L5)
+10.0% more
West Georgia: 37.2
vs
Eastern Kentucky: 33.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EKU Score
71.0
76
WGA Score
89.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 35.3
23.0 / 31.0
Assists
14.5 / 14.3
10.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.7 / 2.9
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
40.2 / 41.9
54.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
80.9 / 72.7
77.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
37.2 / 33.8
42.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.1 / 4.7
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 9.9
9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EKU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
WGA
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EKU
10-19-1
(34.5%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
WGA
Advantage
21-9-0
(70.0%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
EKU
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
WGA
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WGA
EKU
WGA
EKU
ML
58%
18-13
44%
14-18
61%
19-12
69%
22-10
ATS
71%
22-9
56%
18-14
61%
19-12
69%
22-10
TTL
55%
17-14
53%
17-15
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
