Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Huskies @ Golden Flashes NIU @ KENT

NORTHERN ILLINOIS

HUSKIESNIU

5-8  |  Road

73
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 1:00 PM ET
M.A.C. Center
View Odds Details →

KENT STATE

GOLDEN FLASHESKENT

10-3  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
📊
GOLDEN FLASHES
0%
HUSKIES --
GOLDEN FLASHES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
KENT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Kent State)
HuskiesNIU (-3.5) 0 Golden FlashesKENT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

24.2%

Golden Flashes Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KENT -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENT)

NIU By 1-7 points

15.3%

NIU By 8-14 points

5.8%

KENT By 1-7 points

26.2%

KENT By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
74
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
81
KENT STATE
Simulated Score
68
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
72
KENT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Flashes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Flashes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Flashes (+17.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Golden Flashes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 3, 2026 KENT @ NIU 102 - 76
Jan 3, 2026 NIU @ KENT 73 - 77
Jan 7, 2025 KENT @ NIU 68 - 50
Feb 17, 2024 NIU @ KENT 47 - 85
Jan 16, 2024 KENT @ NIU 83 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +138.6% more
Kent State: 3.7 vs Northern Illinois: 1.5
Assists (L5) +18.8% more
Kent State: 16.4 vs Northern Illinois: 13.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.3%
Kent State: 31.9% vs Northern Illinois: 25.6%
Free Throw % (L5) +2.3%
Kent State: 77.1% vs Northern Illinois: 74.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NIU Score 74.0 73
KENT Score 81.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.9 / 25.6 17.0 / 39.0
Assists 16.4 / 13.8 8.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.7 / 1.5 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.7 / 42.5 40.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 77.1 / 74.8 77.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 36.7 / 38.4 34.0 / 38.0
Steals 6.8 / 6.7 9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 15.6 / 15.1 14.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NIU
9-21-0 (30.0%)
Margin: -8.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
KENT Advantage
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NIU Advantage
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: -8.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
KENT
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NIU
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4% Total +/-: -4.8
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENT
NIU
KENT
NIU
ML
53% 18-16
67% 20-10
65% 22-12
66% 19-10
ATS
65% 22-12
63% 19-11
65% 22-12
66% 19-10
TTL
44% 15-19
67% 20-10
100% 34-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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