OKLAHOMA STATE
COWBOYSOKST
12-1 | Road
80
TEXAS TECH
RED RAIDERSTTU
10-3 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
0%
RED RAIDERS
100%
COWBOYS
--
RED RAIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
102.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+12.0
TEXAS TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TTU +12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TTU)
OKST By 1-7 points
20.1%
OKST By 8-14 points
27.2%
TTU By 1-7 points
8.0%
TTU By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Oklahoma State
57
OKLAHOMA STATE
Texas Tech
45
TEXAS TECH
Simulated Score
Oklahoma State
70
OKLAHOMA STATE
Texas Tech
75
TEXAS TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cowboys
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Raiders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Raiders (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +12.0
D
Sim
Red Raiders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u166.5
Loss
Proj Total: 102.0
D
Sim
u166.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 3, 2026
OKST @ TTU
80 - 102
Feb 15, 2025
TTU @ OKST
93 - 55
Jan 26, 2025
OKST @ TTU
54 - 64
Mar 5, 2024
TTU @ OKST
75 - 58
Jan 9, 2024
OKST @ TTU
73 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+19.5% more
Oklahoma State: 8.4
vs
Texas Tech: 6.7
Assists (L5)
+12.0% more
Oklahoma State: 15.3
vs
Texas Tech: 13.4
Turnovers (L5)
+11.7% more
Oklahoma State: 12.0
vs
Texas Tech: 10.6
Rebounding (L5)
+10.5% more
Oklahoma State: 38.2
vs
Texas Tech: 34.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OKST Score
57.0
80
TTU Score
45.0
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.7 / 37.0
46.0 / 31.0
Assists
13.4 / 15.3
21.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.8 / 3.2
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
51.7 / 49.7
48.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
71.7 / 75.4
79.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 38.2
48.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.7 / 8.4
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 12.0
7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OKST
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
TTU
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OKST
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
TTU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.9
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TTU
OKST
TTU
OKST
ML
62%
21-13
60%
21-14
71%
22-9
66%
21-11
ATS
65%
22-12
57%
20-15
71%
22-9
66%
21-11
TTL
59%
20-14
57%
20-15
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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