Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hokies @ Demon Deacons VT @ WAKE

VIRGINIA TECH

HOKIESVT

12-2  |  Road

78
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 12:00 PM ET
LJVM Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WAKE FOREST

DEMON DEACONSWAKE

9-5  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
HOKIES
0%
📊
DEMON DEACONS
100%
HOKIES --
DEMON DEACONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Virginia Tech)
HokiesVT (-3.5) 0 Demon DeaconsWAKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hokies Cover

100.0%

Demon Deacons Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VT -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VT)

VT By 1-7 points

0.5%

VT By 8-14 points

2.7%

WAKE By 1-7 points

0.0%

WAKE By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
85
VIRGINIA TECH
52
WAKE FOREST
Simulated Score
72
VIRGINIA TECH
78
WAKE FOREST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hokies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Demon Deacons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hokies (-5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim Demon Deacons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 WAKE @ VT 95 - 89
Feb 21, 2026 WAKE @ VT 63 - 82
Jan 3, 2026 VT @ WAKE 78 - 81
Jan 18, 2025 WAKE @ VT 72 - 63
Mar 2, 2024 WAKE @ VT 76 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +26.3% more
Virginia Tech: 4.5 vs Wake Forest: 3.3
Rebounding (L5) +20.4% more
Virginia Tech: 42.6 vs Wake Forest: 33.9
Assists (L5) +14.1% more
Virginia Tech: 14.9 vs Wake Forest: 12.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.4%
Virginia Tech: 35.3% vs Wake Forest: 27.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VT Score 85.0 78
WAKE Score 52.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.9 / 35.3 29.0 / 33.0
Assists 12.8 / 14.9 14.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.3 / 4.5 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 40.5 / 44.6 45.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 74.7 / 68.7 88.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 33.9 / 42.6 34.0 / 33.0
Steals 8.7 / 7.5 10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.9 / 11.7 11.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
45%MONEY55%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
28%MONEY72%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VT Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
WAKE
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VT Advantage
17-14-1 (54.8%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
WAKE
16-18-1 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
VT
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +3.6
WAKE
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAKE
VT
WAKE
VT
ML
49% 17-18
53% 17-15
61% 20-13
72% 23-9
ATS
66% 23-12
59% 19-13
61% 20-13
72% 23-9
TTL
60% 21-14
69% 22-10
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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