Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Commodores @ Gamecocks VAN @ SC

VANDERBILT

COMMODORESVAN

13-0  |  Road

83
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 2:00 PM ET
Colonial Life Arena
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA

GAMECOCKSSC

9-4  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
COMMODORES
0%
📊
GAMECOCKS
100%
COMMODORES --
GAMECOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CommodoresVAN (-3.5) 0 GamecocksSC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Commodores Cover

38.2%

Gamecocks Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SC +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SC)

VAN By 1-7 points

27.2%

VAN By 8-14 points

20.1%

SC By 1-7 points

21.6%

SC By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
85
VANDERBILT
82
SOUTH CAROLINA
Simulated Score
72
VANDERBILT
75
SOUTH CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Commodores Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gamecocks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks (+11.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Gamecocks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o155.5 Loss
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 3, 2026 VAN @ SC 83 - 71
Jan 15, 2025 SC @ VAN 63 - 66
Feb 10, 2024 VAN @ SC 60 - 75
Feb 14, 2023 VAN @ SC 75 - 64
Jan 3, 2023 SC @ VAN 79 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +59.1% more
Vanderbilt: 6.3 vs South Carolina: 2.6
Steals (L5) +44.1% more
Vanderbilt: 11.4 vs South Carolina: 6.4
Assists (L5) +26.4% more
Vanderbilt: 20.6 vs South Carolina: 15.1
Rebounding (L5) +14.6% more
Vanderbilt: 38.4 vs South Carolina: 32.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VAN Score 85.0 83
SC Score 82.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.1 / 39.2 25.0 / 43.0
Assists 15.1 / 20.6 15.0 / 17.0
Blocks 2.6 / 6.3 0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 52.2 / 51.8 43.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 86.6 / 82.3 78.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 32.8 / 38.4 25.0 / 37.0
Steals 6.4 / 11.4 4.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 11.7 4.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VAN Advantage
27-9-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +0.7
SC
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VAN Advantage
18-18-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +0.7
SC
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
VAN
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8% Total +/-: +1.3
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
VAN
SC
VAN
ML
72% 23-9
69% 25-11
68% 21-10
56% 18-14
ATS
69% 22-10
78% 28-8
68% 21-10
56% 18-14
TTL
50% 16-16
58% 21-15
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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