BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
10-21 | Road
99
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
8-24 | Home
119
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
0%
WIZARDS
100%
NETS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
237.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
BKN By 1-7 points
18.6%
BKN By 8-14 points
26.8%
WSH By 1-7 points
6.8%
WSH By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
125
BROOKLYN
Washington
112
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
110
BROOKLYN
Washington
115
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Nets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wizards
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Nets (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Wizards (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o224.0
Loss
Proj Total: 237.0
D
Sim
u224.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
WSH @ BKN
115 - 121
Feb 7, 2026
WSH @ BKN
113 - 127
Jan 2, 2026
BKN @ WSH
99 - 119
Nov 16, 2025
BKN @ WSH
129 - 106
Mar 29, 2025
BKN @ WSH
115 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+27.5% more
Brooklyn: 9.8
vs
Washington: 7.1
Turnovers (L5)
+15.9% more
Brooklyn: 15.4
vs
Washington: 12.9
Blocks (L5)
+144.2% more
Washington: 8.1
vs
Brooklyn: 3.3
Rebounding (L5)
+30.9% more
Washington: 46.2
vs
Brooklyn: 35.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
125.0
99
WSH Score
112.0
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.5 / 35.6
38.0 / 21.0
Assists
26.2 / 23.6
24.0 / 20.0
Blocks
8.1 / 3.3
9.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 46.5
51.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
76.0 / 74.2
88.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
46.2 / 35.3
51.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.1 / 9.8
10.0 / 15.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 15.4
19.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
Advantage
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
BKN
WSH
BKN
ML
70%
112-49
53%
50-45
47%
39-44
59%
48-34
ATS
69%
111-49-1
52%
48-44-3
47%
39-44
59%
48-34
TTL
74%
119-41-1
57%
54-41
100%
83-0
100%
82-0
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