CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
BLUE DEVILSCCSU
6-5 | Road
78
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
SHARKSLIU
6-7 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEVILS
0%
SHARKS
100%
BLUE DEVILS
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LIU +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIU)
CCSU By 1-7 points
27.2%
CCSU By 8-14 points
23.0%
LIU By 1-7 points
18.6%
LIU By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Central Connecticut
65
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Long Island University
60
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
Central Connecticut
70
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Long Island University
75
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Devils
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sharks (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
LIU @ CCSU
80 - 59
Jan 2, 2026
CCSU @ LIU
78 - 84
Jan 30, 2025
CCSU @ LIU
63 - 50
Jan 12, 2025
LIU @ CCSU
54 - 52
Feb 29, 2024
LIU @ CCSU
64 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.1%
Central Connecticut: 75.6%
vs
Long Island University: 66.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.3%
Central Connecticut: 37.7%
vs
Long Island University: 32.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+48.5% more
Long Island University: 15.0
vs
Central Connecticut: 10.1
Steals (L5)
+27.3% more
Long Island University: 8.4
vs
Central Connecticut: 6.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CCSU Score
65.0
78
LIU Score
60.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.4 / 37.7
44.0 / 50.0
Assists
15.0 / 15.0
21.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.8 / 4.7
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 46.7
48.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
66.5 / 75.6
65.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
36.0 / 33.7
36.0 / 25.0
Steals
8.4 / 6.6
6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 10.1
5.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCSU
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
LIU
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCSU
Advantage
14-13-1
(51.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
LIU
--
⚖️ Over/Under
CCSU
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +3.0
LIU
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIU
CCSU
LIU
CCSU
ML
60%
21-14
57%
17-13
69%
24-11
57%
17-13
ATS
63%
22-13
63%
19-11
69%
24-11
57%
17-13
TTL
60%
21-14
60%
18-12
100%
35-0
100%
30-0
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