QUINNIPIAC
BOBCATSQUIN
10-4 | Road
79
MANHATTAN
JASPERSMAN
6-8 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
0%
JASPERS
100%
BOBCATS
--
JASPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
QUINNIPIAC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Quinnipiac)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around QUIN -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUIN)
QUIN By 1-7 points
18.6%
QUIN By 8-14 points
26.8%
MAN By 1-7 points
6.8%
MAN By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Quinnipiac
79
QUINNIPIAC
Manhattan
66
MANHATTAN
Simulated Score
Quinnipiac
68
QUINNIPIAC
Manhattan
72
MANHATTAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bobcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jaspers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bobcats (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Jaspers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
MAN @ QUIN
92 - 98
Jan 2, 2026
QUIN @ MAN
79 - 80
Feb 23, 2025
QUIN @ MAN
74 - 71
Feb 2, 2024
QUIN @ MAN
77 - 71
Jan 7, 2024
MAN @ QUIN
59 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+62.6% more
Quinnipiac: 5.9
vs
Manhattan: 2.2
Turnovers (L5)
+9.5% more
Quinnipiac: 11.4
vs
Manhattan: 10.3
Rebounding (L5)
+8.5% more
Quinnipiac: 37.9
vs
Manhattan: 34.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.1%
Manhattan: 76.9%
vs
Quinnipiac: 68.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
QUIN Score
79.0
79
MAN Score
66.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.8 / 31.3
33.0 / 41.0
Assists
11.8 / 11.0
12.0 / 21.0
Blocks
2.2 / 5.9
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.3 / 41.3
47.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
76.9 / 68.8
94.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
34.6 / 37.9
30.0 / 38.0
Steals
8.7 / 9.2
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 11.4
11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUIN
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
MAN
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUIN
Advantage
13-17-1
(43.3%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
MAN
11-19-1
(36.7%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -0.9
MAN
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MAN
QUIN
MAN
QUIN
ML
52%
16-15
66%
21-11
68%
21-10
53%
17-15
ATS
52%
16-15
59%
19-13
69%
22-10
53%
17-15
TTL
77%
24-7
62%
20-12
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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