ROBERT MORRIS
COLONIALSRMU
10-5 | Road
85
DETROIT MERCY
TITANSDETM
6-7 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
COLONIALS
100%
TITANS
0%
COLONIALS
--
TITANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
106.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
DETROIT MERCY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (Detroit Mercy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DETM -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DETM)
RMU By 1-7 points
0.0%
RMU By 8-14 points
0.0%
DETM By 1-7 points
0.1%
DETM By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Robert Morris
33
ROBERT MORRIS
Detroit Mercy
73
DETROIT MERCY
Simulated Score
Robert Morris
73
ROBERT MORRIS
Detroit Mercy
78
DETROIT MERCY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Titans
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Titans
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Titans (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim
Titans (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 106.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
DETM @ RMU
70 - 64
Feb 25, 2026
DETM @ RMU
62 - 73
Jan 2, 2026
RMU @ DETM
85 - 77
Feb 5, 2025
DETM @ RMU
56 - 71
Jan 2, 2025
RMU @ DETM
76 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+178.8% more
Detroit Mercy: 4.5
vs
Robert Morris: 1.6
Steals (L5)
+28.3% more
Detroit Mercy: 5.2
vs
Robert Morris: 4.1
Rebounding (L5)
+17.2% more
Detroit Mercy: 43.2
vs
Robert Morris: 36.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.2%
Detroit Mercy: 76.5%
vs
Robert Morris: 64.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RMU Score
33.0
85
DETM Score
73.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.5 / 39.3
54.0 / 37.0
Assists
11.3 / 18.9
10.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.5 / 1.6
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 46.7
48.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
76.5 / 64.4
77.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
43.2 / 36.8
26.0 / 36.0
Steals
5.2 / 4.1
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 12.1
14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RMU
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
DETM
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RMU
19-11-1
(63.3%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
DETM
Advantage
20-9-1
(69.0%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.1
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DETM
RMU
DETM
RMU
ML
58%
18-13
36%
12-21
50%
15-15
56%
18-14
ATS
61%
19-12
55%
18-15
50%
15-15
56%
18-14
TTL
61%
19-12
55%
18-15
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
