KENNESAW STATE
OWLSKENN
8-4 | Road
73
LIBERTY
FLAMESLIB
9-3 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
100%
FLAMES
0%
OWLS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-46.0
LIBERTY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +46.0 points (Liberty)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIB -46.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIB)
KENN By 1-7 points
0.0%
KENN By 8-14 points
0.0%
LIB By 1-7 points
0.0%
LIB By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Kennesaw State
61
KENNESAW STATE
Liberty
107
LIBERTY
Simulated Score
Kennesaw State
70
KENNESAW STATE
Liberty
75
LIBERTY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -46.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o158.5
Loss
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
LIB @ KENN
65 - 74
Jan 2, 2026
KENN @ LIB
73 - 81
Mar 14, 2025
KENN @ LIB
79 - 81
Mar 2, 2025
KENN @ LIB
85 - 80
Jan 30, 2025
LIB @ KENN
76 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+43.3% more
Liberty: 19.3
vs
Kennesaw State: 13.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.1%
Liberty: 39.3%
vs
Kennesaw State: 30.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.8%
Liberty: 50.8%
vs
Kennesaw State: 45.0%
Rebounding (L5)
+33.7% more
Kennesaw State: 45.8
vs
Liberty: 30.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KENN Score
61.0
73
LIB Score
107.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.3 / 30.2
38.0 / 28.0
Assists
19.3 / 13.4
15.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.9
8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
50.8 / 45.0
51.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
59.6 / 74.9
79.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
30.4 / 45.8
33.0 / 49.0
Steals
7.2 / 7.1
9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.1 / 13.7
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENN
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +0.8
LIB
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENN
Advantage
15-16-1
(48.4%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +0.8
LIB
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +0.8
LIB
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIB
KENN
LIB
KENN
ML
50%
17-17
74%
25-9
53%
18-16
72%
23-9
ATS
62%
21-13
71%
24-10
53%
18-16
73%
24-9
TTL
41%
14-20
56%
19-15
100%
34-0
100%
33-0
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