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NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

19-18-5  |  Road

5
FINAL
Fri, Jan 2 • 8:00 PM ET
loanDepot park
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FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

21-15-3  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Igor Shesterkin
GOALTENDER

Igor Shesterkin

#31 | Goaltender
@
Niko Mikkola
GOALTENDER

Niko Mikkola

#77 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Igor Shesterkin None-None 1.00 0.973 --
Niko Mikkola None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 GAA --
0.973 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
RANGERS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Florida)
RangersNYR (-3.5) 0 PanthersFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

30.9%

Panthers Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

NYR By 1 goal

12.1%

NYR By 2-3 goals

9.3%

FLA By 1 goal

19.7%

FLA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
NEW YORK
3
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
3
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 13, 2026 NYR @ FLA 2 - 3
Mar 29, 2026 FLA @ NYR 1 - 3
Jan 2, 2026 NYR @ FLA 5 - 1
Apr 14, 2025 NYR @ FLA 5 - 3
Dec 30, 2024 NYR @ FLA 3 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +19.9% more
Florida: 27.8 vs New York: 23.1
Hits (L5) +17.8% more
Florida: 25.8 vs New York: 21.9
Blocked Shots (L5) +48.5% more
New York: 20.5 vs Florida: 10.5
Takeaways (L5) +31.1% more
New York: 4.3 vs Florida: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYR Score 2.0 5
FLA Score 3.0 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 10.5 / 20.5 11.0 / 27.0
Faceoff % 46.1 / 51.1 42.6 / 57.4
Hits 25.8 / 21.9 38.0 / 20.0
Power Play % 20.0 / 50.0 16.7 / 66.7
Shots on Goal 27.8 / 23.1 37.0 / 20.0
Takeaways 3.0 / 4.3 5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
40%MONEY60%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
13%MONEY87%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
82%MONEY18%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
NYR
FLA
NYR
ML
0% 0-4
80% 4-1
0% 0-4
40% 2-3
ATS
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
TTL
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
0% 0-4
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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