DALLAS
STARSDAL
25-8-7 | Road
3
CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
14-18-7 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Spencer Knight
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 4.30 | 0.810 | -- |
| Spencer Knight | None-None | 3.01 | 0.880 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.30
GAA
Ldr 3.01
0.810
Save %
Ldr 0.880
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
0%
BLACKHAWKS
100%
STARS
--
BLACKHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DAL -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
DAL By 1 goal
6.6%
DAL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
CHI By 1 goal
0.9%
CHI By 2-3 goals
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
5
DALLAS
Chicago
1
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Dallas
2
DALLAS
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Stars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blackhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Stars (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Blackhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
CHI @ DAL
3 - 4
Jan 1, 2026
DAL @ CHI
3 - 4
Dec 27, 2025
CHI @ DAL
4 - 3
Dec 29, 2024
DAL @ CHI
5 - 1
Nov 27, 2024
DAL @ CHI
2 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.0% more
Dallas: 26.7
vs
Chicago: 23.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+13.4% more
Dallas: 12.9
vs
Chicago: 11.2
Hits (L5)
+51.8% more
Chicago: 23.0
vs
Dallas: 15.2
Power Play % (L5)
+3.1%
Chicago: 17.3%
vs
Dallas: 14.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
5.0
3
CHI Score
1.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.2 / 12.9
17.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
47.1 / 47.7
48.8 / 51.2
Hits
23.0 / 15.2
20.0 / 29.0
Power Play %
17.3 / 14.2
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.0 / 26.7
21.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 4.3
7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
DAL
CHI
DAL
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2-1
100%
3-0
67%
2-1-1
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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Gavin McKenna Nets First NHL Goal and Assist in Maple Leafs' Ove…
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