DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
24-14-3 | Road
3
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
17-12-9 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Arturs Silovs
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Arturs Silovs | None-None | 2.95 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.95
--
Save %
0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
PENGUINS
0%
RED WINGS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
DET By 1 goal
12.1%
DET By 2-3 goals
9.3%
PIT By 1 goal
19.7%
PIT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Pittsburgh
4
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Pittsburgh
4
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 31, 2026
DET @ PIT
1 - 5
Jan 3, 2026
PIT @ DET
4 - 1
Jan 1, 2026
DET @ PIT
3 - 4
Sep 29, 2025
PIT @ DET
2 - 1
Sep 26, 2025
DET @ PIT
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+45.6% more
Pittsburgh: 6.0
vs
Detroit: 4.1
Hits (L5)
+24.3% more
Pittsburgh: 18.5
vs
Detroit: 14.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.0% more
Pittsburgh: 28.2
vs
Detroit: 25.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+14.5% more
Detroit: 17.4
vs
Pittsburgh: 14.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.0
3
PIT Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.9 / 17.4
18.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
50.0 / 52.3
52.6 / 47.4
Hits
18.5 / 14.9
15.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
34.4 / 33.3
33.3 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
28.2 / 25.0
31.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
6.0 / 4.1
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
DET
PIT
DET
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
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