AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
JAZZ
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
UTAH By 1-7 points
6.8%
UTAH By 8-14 points
1.7%
LAC By 1-7 points
18.6%
LAC By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
109
UTAH
LA
122
LA
Simulated Score
Utah
113
UTAH
LA
118
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o230.0
Loss
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Sim
u230.0
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 27, 2026
LAC @ UTAH
115 - 103
Jan 1, 2026
UTAH @ LAC
101 - 118
Oct 22, 2025
LAC @ UTAH
108 - 129
Feb 13, 2025
LAC @ UTAH
120 - 116
Feb 8, 2025
UTAH @ LAC
110 - 130
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+76.4% more
LA: 6.4
vs
Utah: 3.7
Steals (L5)
+41.4% more
LA: 10.1
vs
Utah: 7.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.1%
LA: 86.7%
vs
Utah: 83.7%
Assists (L5)
+25.6% more
Utah: 32.1
vs
LA: 23.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
109.0
101
LAC Score
122.0
118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.0 / 40.8
31.0 / 22.0
Assists
23.9 / 32.1
20.0 / 20.0
Blocks
6.4 / 3.7
7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 48.3
45.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
86.7 / 83.7
85.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
38.5 / 41.1
47.0 / 35.0
Steals
10.1 / 7.2
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 14.5
13.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
UTAH
LAC
UTAH
ML
60%
59-40
60%
96-63
55%
45-37
48%
40-43
ATS
66%
65-33-1
68%
108-51
55%
45-37
48%
40-43
TTL
59%
58-40-1
75%
119-39-1
100%
82-0
100%
83-0