EASTERN KENTUCKY
COLONELSEKU
4-9 | Road
89
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
ROYALSQUC
5-8 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
COLONELS
0%
ROYALS
100%
COLONELS
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Eastern Kentucky)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around EKU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EKU)
EKU By 1-7 points
27.2%
EKU By 8-14 points
23.0%
QUC By 1-7 points
18.6%
QUC By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Kentucky
71
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Queens University
66
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
Eastern Kentucky
75
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Queens University
78
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Colonels
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Colonels (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Royals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u164.5
Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
QUC @ EKU
96 - 79
Jan 1, 2026
EKU @ QUC
89 - 91
Feb 15, 2025
QUC @ EKU
80 - 86
Feb 1, 2024
EKU @ QUC
76 - 94
Feb 9, 2023
EKU @ QUC
84 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+21.9% more
Eastern Kentucky: 3.4
vs
Queens University: 2.7
Rebounding (L5)
+17.9% more
Eastern Kentucky: 36.2
vs
Queens University: 29.7
Steals (L5)
+12.0% more
Eastern Kentucky: 5.6
vs
Queens University: 4.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.8%
Eastern Kentucky: 32.0%
vs
Queens University: 26.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EKU Score
71.0
89
QUC Score
66.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.2 / 32.0
21.0 / 42.0
Assists
14.1 / 12.9
16.0 / 17.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.4
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.8 / 38.3
51.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
73.8 / 73.5
77.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
29.7 / 36.2
37.0 / 29.0
Steals
4.9 / 5.6
1.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 12.4
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EKU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
QUC
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EKU
10-19-1
(34.5%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
QUC
Advantage
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
EKU
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3%
Total +/-: +5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUC
EKU
QUC
EKU
ML
71%
25-10
44%
14-18
71%
24-10
69%
22-10
ATS
86%
30-5
56%
18-14
71%
24-10
69%
22-10
TTL
47%
16-18-1
53%
17-15
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
