GREEN BAY
PHOENIXGB
6-8 | Road
72
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
MASTODONSPFW
8-7 | Home
54
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
MASTODONS
0%
PHOENIX
--
MASTODONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (Purdue Fort Wayne)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PFW -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PFW)
GB By 1-7 points
0.0%
GB By 8-14 points
0.0%
PFW By 1-7 points
0.0%
PFW By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Green Bay
51
GREEN BAY
Purdue Fort Wayne
95
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Simulated Score
Green Bay
68
GREEN BAY
Purdue Fort Wayne
72
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mastodons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mastodons
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mastodons (-7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim
Mastodons (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
PFW @ GB
56 - 64
Feb 12, 2026
PFW @ GB
59 - 76
Jan 1, 2026
GB @ PFW
72 - 54
Feb 8, 2025
GB @ PFW
74 - 89
Dec 29, 2024
PFW @ GB
83 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+112.5% more
Purdue Fort Wayne: 3.9
vs
Green Bay: 1.8
Steals (L5)
+96.1% more
Purdue Fort Wayne: 8.5
vs
Green Bay: 4.4
Turnovers (L5)
+27.4% more
Green Bay: 11.8
vs
Purdue Fort Wayne: 8.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.8%
Green Bay: 51.8%
vs
Purdue Fort Wayne: 43.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GB Score
51.0
72
PFW Score
95.0
54
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.8 / 38.7
32.0 / 37.0
Assists
12.0 / 11.7
15.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.9 / 1.8
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.0 / 51.8
37.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
66.8 / 67.5
38.0 / 92.0
Rebounding
27.8 / 27.7
21.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.5 / 4.4
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
8.5 / 11.8
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
PFW
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
PFW
12-17-0
(41.4%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.1
PFW
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PFW
GB
PFW
GB
ML
59%
19-13
48%
16-17
74%
23-8
67%
22-11
ATS
62%
20-12
52%
17-16
74%
23-8
67%
22-11
TTL
59%
19-13
58%
19-14
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
