Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Trailblazers @ Wildcats UTU @ ACU

UTAH TECH

TRAILBLAZERSUTU

8-7  |  Road

79
FINAL
Thu, Jan 1 • 8:00 PM ET
Moody Coliseum (Abilene)
View Odds Details →

ABILENE CHRISTIAN

WILDCATSACU

8-5  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
TRAILBLAZERS
0%
📊
WILDCATS
100%
TRAILBLAZERS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
115.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
TrailblazersUTU (-3.5) 0 WildcatsACU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trailblazers Cover

38.2%

Wildcats Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ACU +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ACU)

UTU By 1-7 points

27.2%

UTU By 8-14 points

20.1%

ACU By 1-7 points

21.6%

ACU By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
59
UTAH TECH
56
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Simulated Score
68
UTAH TECH
72
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Trailblazers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u138.5 Loss
Proj Total: 115.0
D
Sim u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 ACU @ UTU 74 - 80
Feb 26, 2026 ACU @ UTU 81 - 85
Jan 29, 2026 UTU @ ACU 76 - 70
Jan 1, 2026 UTU @ ACU 79 - 64
Feb 22, 2025 UTU @ ACU 72 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +43.0% more
Utah Tech: 2.6 vs Abilene Christian: 1.5
Assists (L5) +24.7% more
Utah Tech: 15.6 vs Abilene Christian: 11.8
Rebounding (L5) +16.4% more
Utah Tech: 35.3 vs Abilene Christian: 29.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.8%
Utah Tech: 36.9% vs Abilene Christian: 32.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTU Score 59.0 79
ACU Score 56.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.1 / 36.9 18.0 / 44.0
Assists 11.8 / 15.6 12.0 / 19.0
Blocks 1.5 / 2.6 1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 44.0 / 48.8 48.0 / 56.0
Free Throw % 78.4 / 67.8 68.0 / 92.0
Rebounding 29.5 / 35.3 25.0 / 26.0
Steals 9.2 / 8.5 9.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 14.9 / 13.1 19.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTU Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
ACU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTU Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
ACU
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.1
ACU
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ACU
UTU
ACU
UTU
ML
67% 22-11
68% 23-11
70% 23-10
62% 21-13
ATS
55% 18-15
65% 22-12
70% 23-10
62% 21-13
TTL
58% 19-14
65% 22-12
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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