OMAHA
MAVERICKSOMA
7-8 | Road
69
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
JACKRABBITSSDST
7-8 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
MAVERICKS
0%
JACKRABBITS
100%
MAVERICKS
--
JACKRABBITS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
OMAHA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (Omaha)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OMA -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OMA)
OMA By 1-7 points
0.1%
OMA By 8-14 points
1.1%
SDST By 1-7 points
0.0%
SDST By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Omaha
99
OMAHA
South Dakota State
62
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Simulated Score
Omaha
70
OMAHA
South Dakota State
78
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mavericks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jackrabbits
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mavericks (-8.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim
Jackrabbits (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o152.5
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
SDST @ OMA
71 - 80
Jan 1, 2026
OMA @ SDST
69 - 84
Feb 13, 2025
OMA @ SDST
85 - 98
Jan 11, 2025
SDST @ OMA
80 - 87
Feb 17, 2024
SDST @ OMA
85 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+20.0% more
Omaha: 7.0
vs
South Dakota State: 5.6
Rebounding (L5)
+12.0% more
Omaha: 36.6
vs
South Dakota State: 32.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.1%
Omaha: 66.0%
vs
South Dakota State: 59.8%
Blocks (L5)
+65.3% more
South Dakota State: 2.9
vs
Omaha: 1.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OMA Score
99.0
69
SDST Score
62.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.0 / 34.2
23.0 / 29.0
Assists
16.5 / 14.0
15.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.9 / 1.8
6.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 45.4
48.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
59.8 / 66.0
81.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
32.2 / 36.6
52.0 / 29.0
Steals
5.6 / 7.0
2.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 10.9
10.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OMA
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
SDST
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OMA
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
SDST
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
OMA
14-14-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.6
SDST
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SDST
OMA
SDST
OMA
ML
75%
24-8
79%
26-7
53%
17-15
67%
22-11
ATS
78%
25-7
76%
25-8
53%
17-15
67%
22-11
TTL
53%
17-15
73%
24-9
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
Jason Kidd in Advanced Talks to Join ESPN's NBA Countdown as Ana…
Jason Kidd Nears ESPN Studio Analyst Role for NBA Countdown
Florida Gators Banking on Star-Studded Core for SEC Three-Peat
Kirby Smart Stays Silent on Nate Frazier's Injury Status as Geor…
West Virginia's Defense Exposed in 41-24 Loss to Oklahoma State