UC IRVINE
ANTEATERSUCI
9-5 | Road
81
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
ROADRUNNERSCSUB
6-8 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
ANTEATERS
100%
ROADRUNNERS
0%
ANTEATERS
--
ROADRUNNERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Cal State Bakersfield)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CSUB -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSUB)
UCI By 1-7 points
23.0%
UCI By 8-14 points
12.2%
CSUB By 1-7 points
26.8%
CSUB By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
UC Irvine
79
UC IRVINE
Cal State Bakersfield
81
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Simulated Score
UC Irvine
71
UC IRVINE
Cal State Bakersfield
63
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Roadrunners
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Anteaters
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Roadrunners (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Anteaters (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
CSUB @ UCI
62 - 78
Jan 1, 2026
UCI @ CSUB
81 - 77
Feb 22, 2025
UCI @ CSUB
73 - 64
Dec 5, 2024
CSUB @ UCI
66 - 82
Feb 17, 2024
CSUB @ UCI
71 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+28.6% more
Cal State Bakersfield: 13.7
vs
UC Irvine: 10.7
Steals (L5)
+16.6% more
Cal State Bakersfield: 8.9
vs
UC Irvine: 7.6
Assists (L5)
+45.5% more
UC Irvine: 19.0
vs
Cal State Bakersfield: 10.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
UC Irvine: 35.6%
vs
Cal State Bakersfield: 31.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UCI Score
79.0
81
CSUB Score
81.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.5 / 35.6
38.0 / 62.0
Assists
10.3 / 19.0
9.0 / 13.0
Blocks
5.7 / 5.5
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 46.8
40.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
66.7 / 70.6
78.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
32.8 / 35.2
39.0 / 32.0
Steals
8.9 / 7.6
7.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 10.7
9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCI
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
CSUB
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -9.1
ATS +/-: -3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCI
Advantage
16-16-1
(50.0%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
CSUB
11-18-1
(37.9%)
Margin: -9.1
ATS +/-: -3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6%
Total +/-: -2.8
CSUB
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSUB
UCI
CSUB
UCI
ML
55%
17-14
57%
20-15
71%
22-9
53%
18-16
ATS
61%
19-12
63%
22-13
71%
22-9
53%
18-16
TTL
58%
18-13
57%
20-15
100%
31-0
100%
34-0
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