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MILWAUKEE

PANTHERSMILW

7-7  |  Road

70
FINAL
Thu, Jan 1 • 2:00 PM ET
Nutter Center
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WRIGHT STATE

RAIDERSWRST

7-7  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
RAIDERS
100%
PANTHERS --
RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Milwaukee)
PanthersMILW (-3.5) 0 RaidersWRST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

99.7%

Raiders Cover

0.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MILW -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MILW)

MILW By 1-7 points

1.7%

MILW By 8-14 points

6.8%

WRST By 1-7 points

0.2%

WRST By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
85
MILWAUKEE
57
WRIGHT STATE
Simulated Score
73
MILWAUKEE
78
WRIGHT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (-5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 30, 2026 WRST @ MILW 76 - 69
Jan 1, 2026 MILW @ WRST 70 - 76
Feb 14, 2025 WRST @ MILW 80 - 88
Jan 22, 2025 MILW @ WRST 95 - 79
Jan 20, 2024 MILW @ WRST 81 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +19.7% more
Milwaukee: 43.8 vs Wright State: 35.2
Free Throw % (L5) +4.6%
Milwaukee: 75.9% vs Wright State: 71.3%
Blocks (L5) +52.9% more
Wright State: 4.5 vs Milwaukee: 3.0
Steals (L5) +50.2% more
Wright State: 8.5 vs Milwaukee: 5.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MILW Score 85.0 70
WRST Score 57.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.7 / 27.1 31.0 / 36.0
Assists 13.8 / 12.3 10.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.5 / 3.0 7.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 49.3 / 39.8 43.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 71.3 / 75.9 84.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 35.2 / 43.8 41.0 / 33.0
Steals 8.5 / 5.6 4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 12.0 8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MILW
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
WRST Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MILW
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
WRST Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MILW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.0
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WRST
MILW
WRST
MILW
ML
37% 13-22
50% 16-16
63% 22-13
69% 22-10
ATS
46% 16-19
47% 15-17
63% 22-13
69% 22-10
TTL
63% 22-13
59% 19-13
100% 35-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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